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Outcome Probability Calculator is back up!

Ford Bohrmann

After about a month of downtime I have the outcome probability calculator back up and running. Shiny (made by RStudio) is great but they decided to start charging so I rewrote it all in Python. I used Bokeh, which is great. If you're trying to do some data visualizations online it's a great way to go. The formatting looks a bit different but the data and models are exactly the same. Check it out here.

If you want to see how I created the models, check out this post.

And if you haven’t seen the Economist blog post from a couple weeks back comparing Messi to Ronaldo using the data, read it here

A lot of people have reached out to me asking for the data or have been trying to manually gather it from the applet. If you’re interested in using the data then just reach out to me at and I’d be happy to send all the raw data to you, provided you reference this blog when you use it. 

Finally, now that the calculator is fixed I can focus on some other work I’ve been doing. I’ve admittedly been absent from posting here for a while. I have a few posts I’ve been working on recently, so expect some new stuff coming soon...